{"id":2733,"date":"2026-08-18T18:20:49","date_gmt":"2026-08-18T23:20:49","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/accendoassociates.com\/?p=2733"},"modified":"2026-09-28T16:14:15","modified_gmt":"2026-09-28T21:14:15","slug":"necessary-not-sufficient-fund-flows","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/accendoassociates.com\/fr\/necessary-not-sufficient-fund-flows\/","title":{"rendered":"N\u00e9cessaire, mais pas suffisant : ce que 42,8 milliards USD de capitaux pour l\u2019IA n\u2019ach\u00e8tent pas aux march\u00e9s \u00e9mergents"},"content":{"rendered":"<meta charset=\"UTF-8\">\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width, initial-scale=1.0\">\n<title>N\u00e9cessaire, mais pas suffisant : le d\u00e9ficit de financement se situe au-dessus du centre de donn\u00e9es | Accendo Associates<\/title>\n<link rel=\"preconnect\" href=\"https:\/\/fonts.googleapis.com\">\n<link rel=\"preconnect\" href=\"https:\/\/fonts.gstatic.com\" crossorigin=\"\">\n<link href=\"https:\/\/fonts.googleapis.com\/css2?family=Archivo:wght@400;700;800&amp;family=PT+Sans:wght@700&amp;display=swap\" rel=\"stylesheet\">\n<style>\n  html { overflow-x:hidden; 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color:var(--acc-muted);\n  margin:26px 0 0; padding-top:26px; border-top:1px solid var(--acc-line);\n}\n.acc-insights-post .body-copy p { font-size:17px; line-height:1.65; margin:0 0 20px; color:var(--acc-text); }\n.acc-insights-post .body-copy p:last-child { margin-bottom:0; }\n.acc-insights-post .cta-lede { font-size:17px; line-height:1.6; }\n.acc-insights-post .btn-row { display:flex; gap:14px; flex-wrap:wrap; margin-top:24px; }\n.acc-insights-post .btn {\n  display:inline-block; font-family:var(--acc-font-body); font-weight:700; font-size:15px;\n  letter-spacing:.01em; text-decoration:none; border-radius:3px;\n  padding:14px 26px; max-width:100%; line-height:1.35;\n}\n.acc-insights-post .btn-primary { background:var(--acc-red); color:#fff; }\n.acc-insights-post .btn-primary:hover { opacity:.88; }\n.acc-insights-post .btn-outline {\n  background:transparent; border:1px solid rgba(255,255,255,.55); color:#fff;\n  font-size:14px; letter-spacing:.06em; text-transform:uppercase; font-weight:800;\n}\n.acc-insights-post .btn-outline:hover { border-color:#fff; }\n.acc-insights-post footer.site-footer {\n  border-top:1px solid var(--acc-line); padding-top:32px; margin-top:8px;\n}\n.acc-insights-post footer.site-footer img.logo { height:26px; margin-bottom:16px; display:block; }\n.acc-insights-post footer.site-footer p {\n  font-size:13px; font-style:italic; color:var(--acc-muted); line-height:1.6; margin:0;\n}\n@media (max-width:640px) {\n  .acc-insights-post .btn { width:100%; text-align:center; }\n}\n\n<\/style>\n\n\n<div class=\"acc-insights-post\">\n\n  <section class=\"section section-white\">\n    <div class=\"wrap\">\n      <div class=\"prose\">\n        <p class=\"section-label kicker\">Flux de capitaux | Accendo Signals<\/p>\n        <p class=\"section-lead\">Nous avons suivi 42,8 milliards USD de capitaux pour l\u2019IA dans cinq r\u00e9gions de march\u00e9s \u00e9mergents. 94 % financent des infrastructures de calcul. C\u2019est une bonne nouvelle, et le calcul est n\u00e9cessaire.<\/p>\n        <p class=\"section-lead\">Mais il ne produit pas \u00e0 lui seul une entreprise locale d\u2019IA, un jeu de donn\u00e9es exploitable, une main-d\u2019\u0153uvre qualifi\u00e9e ni une institution locale capable d\u2019exploiter et de gouverner un syst\u00e8me d\u2019IA. Ces \u00e9l\u00e9ments doivent \u00eatre financ\u00e9s s\u00e9par\u00e9ment et, aujourd\u2019hui, ils le sont tr\u00e8s peu.<\/p>\n      <\/div>\n    <\/div>\n  <\/section>\n\n  <section class=\"section section-grey\">\n    <div class=\"wrap\">\n      <div class=\"prose\">\n        <div class=\"metric-strip\">\n          <div class=\"metric\"><span class=\"n\">42,8 Md USD<\/span><span class=\"label\">Suivis sur 159 transactions<\/span><\/div>\n          <div class=\"metric\"><span class=\"n\">94%<\/span><span class=\"label\">Des capitaux suivis financent le calcul<\/span><\/div>\n          <div class=\"metric\"><span class=\"n\">2.2%<\/span><span class=\"label\">Va aux applications et services<\/span><\/div>\n          <div class=\"metric\"><span class=\"n\">12<\/span><span class=\"label\">Op\u00e9rations en phase de croissance au-dessus de l\u2019infrastructure depuis 2023<\/span><\/div>\n        <\/div>\n      <\/div>\n    <\/div>\n  <\/section>\n\n  <section class=\"section section-white\">\n    <div class=\"wrap\">\n      <div class=\"prose\">\n        <div class=\"body-copy\">\n          <p>Accendo Signals, la publication de recherche d\u2019Accendo Associates, a suivi 159 transactions d\u2019IA engag\u00e9es en Afrique subsaharienne, en Asie du Sud, en Asie du Sud-Est, en Am\u00e9rique latine et aux Cara\u00efbes, ainsi qu\u2019au Moyen-Orient et en Afrique du Nord, de janvier 2023 au 15 ao\u00fbt 2026, \u00e0 l\u2019aide de la <a href=\"https:\/\/accendoassociates.com\/fr\/capital-flows-map\/\">carte des flux de capitaux d\u2019Accendo Signals<\/a>. Sur les 144 transactions dont le montant est publi\u00e9, le total atteint 42,77 milliards USD.<\/p>\n          <p>94 % financent des infrastructures de calcul : centres de donn\u00e9es, capacit\u00e9 GPU, r\u00e9gions cloud et puissance de traitement sur laquelle tourne l\u2019IA. Les applications et services repr\u00e9sentent 88 transactions, plus de la moiti\u00e9 du jeu de donn\u00e9es, mais seulement environ 2,2 % des capitaux suivis. Les socles de donn\u00e9es, y compris les jeux de donn\u00e9es et les ressources en langues locales, repr\u00e9sentent 79 millions USD. Les capacit\u00e9s humaines repr\u00e9sentent 50,5 millions USD.<\/p>\n        <\/div>\n        <div class=\"quote\"><p>Le calcul est n\u00e9cessaire. Un pays ne peut pas faire tourner une \u00e9conomie de l\u2019IA nationale sans capacit\u00e9 de traitement, pas plus qu\u2019il ne peut s\u2019industrialiser sans \u00e9lectricit\u00e9 ni routes. Mais le calcul ne suffit pas.<\/p><\/div>\n        <div class=\"body-copy\" style=\"margin-top:26px;\">\n          <p>Le m\u00eame d\u00e9s\u00e9quilibre appara\u00eet de fa\u00e7on in\u00e9gale selon les r\u00e9gions, et s\u2019inverse dans plusieurs d\u2019entre elles une fois le calcul retir\u00e9. La ventilation r\u00e9gionale compl\u00e8te figure dans l\u2019analyse compl\u00e8te.<\/p>\n          <p>Des capitaux pour l\u2019IA situ\u00e9s dans un march\u00e9 \u00e9mergent ne construisent pas n\u00e9cessairement des capacit\u00e9s d\u2019IA au sein de cette \u00e9conomie. Un pays peut accueillir des milliards de dollars de calcul sans cr\u00e9er automatiquement d\u2019entreprises nationales d\u2019IA, de propri\u00e9t\u00e9 intellectuelle locale, de jeux de donn\u00e9es exploitables, de personnes qualifi\u00e9es, de demande institutionnelle ni d\u2019applications qui r\u00e9solvent des probl\u00e8mes locaux. Cela exige un autre march\u00e9 du financement.<\/p>\n        <\/div>\n      <\/div>\n    <\/div>\n  <\/section>\n\n  <section class=\"section section-grey\">\n    <div class=\"wrap\">\n      <div class=\"prose\">\n        <div class=\"section-head\">\n          <span class=\"section-label\">Le constat<\/span>\n          <span class=\"section-line\"><\/span>\n        <\/div>\n        <h2 class=\"section-title\">Le march\u00e9 est financ\u00e9 aux deux extr\u00e9mit\u00e9s et clairsem\u00e9 au milieu<\/h2>\n        <div class=\"body-copy\">\n          <p>\u00c0 la petite extr\u00e9mit\u00e9, l\u2019activit\u00e9 est r\u00e9elle. Le capital-risque d\u2019amor\u00e7age repr\u00e9sente 59 transactions pour un ticket m\u00e9dian publi\u00e9 de 2,5 millions USD. Les subventions en repr\u00e9sentent 39 autres et jouent un r\u00f4le disproportionn\u00e9 dans le financement des jeux de donn\u00e9es, des comp\u00e9tences et d\u2019autres capacit\u00e9s sans client commercial \u00e9vident \u00e0 court terme.<\/p>\n          <p>\u00c0 l\u2019autre extr\u00e9mit\u00e9 se trouvent les transactions d\u2019infrastructure financ\u00e9es \u00e0 hauteur de centaines de millions ou de milliards de dollars par des capitaux d\u2019entreprise, de la dette et de l\u2019investissement institutionnel. Entre les deux, le march\u00e9 se rar\u00e9fie nettement. Le jeu de donn\u00e9es ne compte que 12 transactions de capital-croissance ou de capital-risque de stade avanc\u00e9 au-dessus de l\u2019infrastructure, dans cinq immenses r\u00e9gions sur trois ans et demi.<\/p>\n          <p>C\u2019est le capital n\u00e9cessaire quand une entreprise d\u2019IA a d\u00e9pass\u00e9 le stade de la preuve de produit et doit s\u2019\u00e9tendre \u00e0 de nouveaux march\u00e9s, b\u00e2tir une force de vente aupr\u00e8s des entreprises, satisfaire aux exigences r\u00e9glementaires, s\u2019int\u00e9grer aux grandes institutions et survivre \u00e0 de longs cycles d\u2019achat. Le capital d\u2019amor\u00e7age peut lancer ce parcours. Il ne peut pas financer toute la route.<\/p>\n        <\/div>\n      <\/div>\n    <\/div>\n  <\/section>\n\n  <section class=\"section section-white\">\n    <div class=\"wrap\">\n      <div class=\"prose\">\n        <div class=\"section-head\">\n          <span class=\"section-label\">L\u2019ouverture<\/span>\n          <span class=\"section-line\"><\/span>\n        <\/div>\n        <h2 class=\"section-title\">C\u2019est l\u00e0 que les investisseurs d\u2019impact ont une carte \u00e0 jouer<\/h2>\n        <div class=\"body-copy\">\n          <p>Le probl\u00e8me d\u00e9passe le financement des startups. Le calcul cr\u00e9e une capacit\u00e9 potentielle. Il faut encore transformer cette capacit\u00e9 en une \u00e9conomie capable de l\u2019utiliser.<\/p>\n          <p>Cela signifie des donn\u00e9es exploitables. Des ressources en langues locales. Des \u00e9quipes qualifi\u00e9es. Des institutions capables d\u2019acheter de l\u2019IA. Des entreprises capables de tenir jusqu\u2019\u00e0 ce que ces institutions deviennent clientes. Et du capital-croissance capable de faire passer des entreprises prometteuses du produit \u00e0 l\u2019\u00e9chelle. Trois opportunit\u00e9s de financement se d\u00e9gagent.<\/p>\n        <\/div>\n\n        <div class=\"insights-card-grid\">\n          <div class=\"offer-card\">\n            <h3>B\u00e2tir un pont de capital-croissance<\/h3>\n            <p>Un v\u00e9hicule visant des tickets d\u2019environ 10 \u00e0 40 millions USD pourrait se placer entre le march\u00e9 de l\u2019amor\u00e7age et les r\u00e9servoirs bien plus profonds de capitaux d\u2019infrastructure. Les capitaux des institutions de financement du d\u00e9veloppement ou d\u2019impact pourraient entra\u00eener des investisseurs commerciaux dans leur sillage.<\/p>\n          <\/div>\n          <div class=\"offer-card\">\n            <h3>Traiter les actifs de donn\u00e9es partag\u00e9s comme une infrastructure<\/h3>\n            <p>Les jeux de donn\u00e9es en langues locales et les ressources d\u2019\u00e9valuation peuvent cr\u00e9er de la valeur dans des centaines ou des milliers d\u2019applications, mais aucune entreprise n\u2019a n\u00e9cessairement int\u00e9r\u00eat \u00e0 les financer seule. Les \u00c9tats, les fondations philanthropiques, les institutions de financement du d\u00e9veloppement et les grands fournisseurs de cloud le peuvent.<\/p>\n          <\/div>\n          <div class=\"offer-card\">\n            <h3>Financer la demande, pas seulement l\u2019offre<\/h3>\n            <p>Les \u00c9tats qui n\u00e9gocient des projets de calcul \u00e0 plusieurs milliards de dollars peuvent aussi n\u00e9gocier un soutien aux \u00e9cosyst\u00e8mes de d\u00e9veloppeurs nationaux, \u00e0 l\u2019adoption par les entreprises, aux charges de travail du secteur public et aux entreprises locales d\u2019IA. Les institutions de d\u00e9veloppement peuvent aider \u00e0 r\u00e9duire le risque des premiers achats pour qu\u2019un produit qui fonctionne devienne un contrat payant plut\u00f4t qu\u2019un pilote de plus.<\/p>\n          <\/div>\n        <\/div>\n\n        <div class=\"body-copy\" style=\"margin-top:28px;\">\n          <p>Rien de tout cela ne plaide contre le calcul. Cela montre que le calcul est le pr\u00e9requis, pas la destination.<\/p>\n        <\/div>\n        <div class=\"quote\"><p>Les pays qui tireront le plus profit de la course aux infrastructures d\u2019IA ne seront peut-\u00eatre pas ceux qui attirent les plus gros engagements de calcul. Ce pourraient \u00eatre ceux qui transforment le calcul install\u00e9 sur leur territoire en capacit\u00e9s au sein de leur \u00e9conomie : donn\u00e9es exploitables, mod\u00e8les pertinents, personnes qualifi\u00e9es, entreprises viables, demande institutionnelle et applications qui r\u00e9solvent de vrais probl\u00e8mes.<\/p><\/div>\n        <div class=\"body-copy\" style=\"margin-top:26px;\">\n          <p>Et cela laisse une question d\u2019investissement bien plus int\u00e9ressante que le montant des capitaux pour l\u2019IA qui atteignent les march\u00e9s \u00e9mergents : qui finance le co\u00fbt de la conversion.<\/p>\n        <\/div>\n\n        <div class=\"update-panel\">\n          <p class=\"cta-lede\">Pour la ventilation r\u00e9gionale, les d\u00e9coupages sectoriels et l\u2019ensemble des donn\u00e9es derri\u00e8re ces chiffres, lisez l\u2019analyse compl\u00e8te sur Accendo Signals et explorez les donn\u00e9es sous-jacentes dans la carte des flux de capitaux.<\/p>\n          <div class=\"btn-row\">\n            <a class=\"btn btn-primary\" href=\"https:\/\/signals.accendoassociates.com\/p\/necessary-not-sufficient-what-428\">\u00c0 lire : N\u00e9cessaire, mais pas suffisant : ce que 42,8 milliards USD de capitaux pour l\u2019IA n\u2019ach\u00e8tent pas aux march\u00e9s \u00e9mergents \u2192<\/a>\n            <a class=\"btn btn-outline\" href=\"https:\/\/accendoassociates.com\/fr\/capital-flows-map\/\">Explorer la carte des flux de capitaux<\/a>\n          <\/div>\n        <\/div>\n      <\/div>\n    <\/div>\n  <\/section>\n<\/div>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Nous avons suivi 42,8 milliards USD de capitaux consacr\u00e9s \u00e0 l\u2019IA dans cinq r\u00e9gions de march\u00e9s \u00e9mergents. 94 % financent des infrastructures de calcul. C\u2019est une bonne nouvelle, et le calcul est n\u00e9cessaire. Mais il ne produit pas \u00e0 lui seul une entreprise locale d\u2019IA, un jeu de donn\u00e9es exploitable, une main-d\u2019\u0153uvre qualifi\u00e9e ni une institution capable d\u2019acheter et de gouverner un syst\u00e8me d\u2019IA. Ces \u00e9l\u00e9ments doivent \u00eatre financ\u00e9s s\u00e9par\u00e9ment et, aujourd\u2019hui, ils le sont tr\u00e8s peu.<\/p>","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":2744,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"nf_dc_page":"","_kad_blocks_custom_css":"","_kad_blocks_head_custom_js":"","_kad_blocks_body_custom_js":"","_kad_blocks_footer_custom_js":"","_monsterinsights_skip_tracking":false,"_EventAllDay":false,"_EventTimezone":"","_EventStartDate":"","_EventEndDate":"","_EventStartDateUTC":"","_EventEndDateUTC":"","_EventShowMap":false,"_EventShowMapLink":false,"_EventURL":"","_EventCost":"","_EventCostDescription":"","_EventCurrencySymbol":"","_EventCurrencyCode":"","_EventCurrencyPosition":"","_EventDateTimeSeparator":"","_EventTimeRangeSeparator":"","_EventOrganizerID":[],"_EventVenueID":[],"_OrganizerEmail":"","_OrganizerPhone":"","_OrganizerWebsite":"","_VenueAddress":"","_VenueCity":"","_VenueCountry":"","_VenueProvince":"","_VenueState":"","_VenueZip":"","_VenuePhone":"","_VenueURL":"","_VenueStateProvince":"","_VenueLat":"","_VenueLng":"","_VenueShowMap":false,"_VenueShowMapLink":false,"_kadence_starter_templates_imported_post":false,"_swpsp_post_exclude":false,"_kad_post_transparent":"default","_kad_post_title":"default","_kad_post_layout":"default","_kad_post_sidebar_id":"","_kad_post_content_style":"default","_kad_post_vertical_padding":"","_kad_post_feature":"default","_kad_post_feature_position":"default","_kad_post_header":false,"_kad_post_footer":false,"_kad_post_classname":"","footnotes":""},"categories":[7,36],"tags":[58,59,60,61,57],"class_list":["post-2733","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-ai-impact","category-insights","tag-ai","tag-artificial-intelligence","tag-capital-flows","tag-emerging-markets","tag-impact-investing"],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v28.6 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/product\/yoast-seo-wordpress\/ -->\n<title>AI Capital in Emerging Markets: USD 42.8 Billion Traced<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"We traced USD 42.8 billion in AI capital across five emerging-market regions. 94% of it funds compute. 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